China’s Retail Sales Up As Opposing Industrial Production Slows In May

Chinese retail sales picked up in May but industrial production growth slowed, official data showed Monday, suggesting the recovery in the world’s second-largest economy remains uneven, news reports said.

MIDF Research, in its Economic Brief today (June 18), said China’s industrial production expanded by +5.6%yoy in May-24, slower than previous month’s +6.7% yoy and missed market expectations of +6.0%yoy.

Manufacturing output rose by +6.0% yoy while hi-tech manufacturing output advanced by +10.0%yoy. Mining & quarrying output growth rate quickened to +3.6%yoy, the steepest rise in 4-month. Production & distribution of electricity, gas & water increased by +4.3%yoy.

On monthly sequence, IPI up by +0.3%mom (Apr-24: +1.0%mom).

Another data release showed that domestic demand strengthened as retail sales growth rate improved to 3-month high at +3.7%yoy, surpassing market expectations of +3.0%yoy.

The retail trade increased by +0.5%mom, the largest monthly gain in 7-month.

The steady expansion of retail trade among others supported by the improving labour market in China.

Latest jobless rate reported at 5.0% in May-24, maintaining the 5-month low recorded in the previous month.

Judging from Caixin Services PMI, the 10-month high optimism level in the services sector indicate continuous betterment of domestic demand going into 2HCY24.

Similarly, Caixin Manufacturing PMI which registered at 23-month high in May-24 signalled further expansion of industrial as well as external trade activities in China, MIDF said.

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